As widely reported, Sony bought out BMG and now owns 100% of what used to be Columbia and RCA back
in the days. The Wall Street Journal reported a few interesting things. The whole shebang was valued
at $1.8 billion, which is a remarkably low market cap for a large chunk of the world's commercial
recorded legacy. BMG got a relatively small payment and got to keep the joint venture's cash on the
books, half of which they owned already anyway. WSJ reports Sony's strategy is to once again try to
use software (ie music) to try and sell hardware (music playing gear or "synergies" with video gear
or whatever. Given their terrible track record with this strategy, it will be interesting see where
this goes. But, on the plus side, Sony has a record of tolerating low profits and losses in its
movie unit in order to sell DVD players, large-screen TV's professional video gear, etc. It also was
able to leverage its movie studio as a big muscle in the Blu-Ray victory. Also on the plus side,
perhaps, I've read several reports that Sony is looking anew at SACD and may try the format once
again. For classical fans, there may be a downside but I've heard nothing factual on this. The RCA
Living Stereo SACD reissues were a pet project, reportedly, of the family that controls BMG. Indeed,
owning the Living Stereo catalog was said to be a factor in BMG's decision to purchase RCA's music
business. Another downside is that under the joint-venture, the reissue programs were stalled or
gutted and indeed first RCA's studio complex and then Sony's shut down. I'm not clear if there is a
unified library/archive for this company, or if part or all of that has been outsourced. One friend
of mine described Sony as "the bizarro Apple, never able to hit the mark in recent years."
Stockholders have been restless and it will be interesting to see how much pressure the company
comes under to wring profits out of the music business. Sony, being a technology company, may be
positioned well to transition away from manufactured CD's into a download-centric world, but bizarro
has been their MO with everything from digital music players to an online store -- they don't seem
to get any of this. There are also frequently rumors floating around about Sony and Apple, although
nothing has ever come of any of that.
One interesting trend is that if music-owning entities continue to shed value and market cap, the
day will come where the content (ie the archives and the active contracts) will be attractive to a
Microsoft, Google or Apple. Under such a scenario, I doubt the buyer company would stay in the
manufactured-CD business for most titles and would probably be net-savvy enough to "get it" and
succeed at online sales, if they bought the catalog at a low enough price. I would say
value-bleeding would need to continue apace a few years before this becomes viable, although a
cash-rich company like Google could overpay to take a gamble sooner. CD sales will soon be 50% of
the peak years.
-- Tom Fine
|